XTCT-905 - AI Scenarios for Strategic Decision-Making
Course Description
This six-week professional certificate offers business leaders, analysts, and decision-makers the knowledge and skills to design, generate, and communicate strategic scenarios using artificial intelligence. The program introduces the conceptual foundations of scenario planning, tracing its intellectual roots to strategic foresight practices employed by military institutions and later adapted by corporations, governments, and NGOs. Integrating traditional scenario planning methods with advanced prompt engineering and generative AI tools, the program enables participants to construct evidence-based, plausible, probable, and measurable scenarios that inform high-stakes decision-making. Participants will produce AI-assisted scenario portfolios enhanced with visuals and storytelling to influence strategic thinking across industries.
Target Audience
- Business leaders and innovation officers
- Strategic planners and consultants
- Policy analysts and foresight professionals
- Risk managers and crisis leaders
- Anyone responsible for strategic decisions under uncertainty
Course Outline
Module 1 – Foundations of AI-Scenario Design: Principles, Structures, and Strategic Applications
Analyze the theoretical underpinnings and practical uses of scenario design, including the core principles of plausibility, probability, and measurability
Apply traditional tools (e.g., STEEP, cross-impact analysis) to build initial scenario logic.
Module 2 - AI Prompt Engineering for Scenario Generation
Design and refine AI prompts to generate structured, logically consistent scenarios that reflect uncertainty, creativity, and strategic relevance.
Evaluate AI-generated scenario narratives for consistency and plausibility
Module 3 - Advanced AI-Scenario Techniques: What-Ifs, Alternatives, and Extreme Futures
Generate complex scenario types including high-impact/low-probability futures, "what-if" simulations, and alternative futures.
Use AI-enhanced iterative prompts and structured imagination.
Module 4 - Assessing AI-Scenarios: Validity, Coherence, Bias, and Strategic Fit
Apply structured evaluation methods to test AI-generated scenarios for logical consistency, bias, evidentiary alignment, and decision-making utility.
Module 5 - Visualizing and Communicating AI-Scenarios
Use generative AI tools to produce images, videos, and visual narratives that convey strategic scenarios to technical and non-technical stakeholders.
Module 6 - Capstone: AI-Scenario Portfolio for Strategic Decision-Making
Integrate traditional methods, AI generation, and visual storytelling into a final scenario portfolio that addresses a real-world strategic decision context.
Course Objectives
Learning Outcomes- Apply traditional scenario design principles grounded in empirical analysis
- Prompt large language models to generate diverse and coherent AI scenarios
- Assess the validity, plausibility, and strategic relevance of AI-generated content
- Detect and mitigate cognitive biases in scenario construction and analysis
- Communicate complex scenarios effectively by designing and presenting compelling visuals (images and videos) using generative AI.
- Develop and present a multi-scenario portfolio that informs strategic decision-making